Potential impact
What AUD 407,525 could achieve in 24 months
Adjust the assumptions to see how uptake, follow-up and treatment translate into women screened, precancers treated and value for money.
Projected impact headline
At 70% uptake, Kushalam could give 4,760 women a valid HPV result, for about AUD 86 per valid result.
If the illustrative assumptions hold (7% HPV positivity, 10 CIN2+ per 1,000, 90% linkage and 90% treatment completion), about 39 precancers could be detected and treated.
- ProjectedWomen with a valid result
- 4,760
- of 6,800 eligible · about 238 per estate
- ProjectedHPV-positive women linked to follow-up
- 300
- of 333 HPV-positive · about 170 colposcopy referrals
- ProjectedPrecancers (CIN2+) treated
- 39
- of about 43 detected (48 expected among women screened)
- ProjectedCost per valid result
- AUD 86
- ≈ LKR 19,777 · total budget ÷ women with a result
Projected screen-and-treat cascade
Each step depends on the assumptions in the panel. These are scenario estimates, not results.
- Eligible women (line list)6,800
- Valid HPV result4,760
70% of eligible
- HPV positive333
7% of valid results
- Linked to triage or colposcopy300
90% of HPV-positive
- CIN2+ detected43
of 48 expected among women screened
- CIN2+ treated39
91% of detected
Gated rollout, June 2027 to June 2028
Estates grow 4 → 8 → 12 → 20, each wave unlocked by a quality gate.
Closing the screening gap
Ever-screened rates (FHB & UNFPA, 2019) vs. Kushalam's projected coverage of its eligible women. The dashed line is WHO's 70% screening target.
Where the money goes
Year 1 AUD 190,507 · Year 2 AUD 217,018
- Personnel and allowancesAUD 140,868
- HPV tests, kits and equipmentAUD 118,702
- Transport, vehicles, women’s travel and wagesAUD 85,453
- Indirect costs (7%)AUD 26,660
- Contingency (5%)AUD 18,136
- Trainings and meetingsAUD 17,706
Targets vs. this scenario
- Eligible women with a valid HPV resultBy Jul 202870%target ≥70%
- Women needing assessment linked within 3 monthsBy Oct 202890%target ≥90%
- Women with CIN2+ treatedBy Oct 202890%target ≥90%
- Valid results acknowledged within 30 daysBy OngoingMeasuredtarget ≥95%
- Process rated acceptable and privateBy Exit surveyMeasuredtarget ≥80%
- No pay or attendance penalty reportedBy Exit surveyMeasuredtarget ≥95%
Safeguards for supporters: quality gates
Funds for each wave are released only after the previous gate is passed. A second miss ends expansion and unspent funds return to DFAT.
Wave 1 · June 2027 → 4 estates
First collection wave starts in 4 estates
Gate 1 · August 2027 → 8 estates
Consent ≥85% · Invalid samples ≤5% · Median turnaround ≤28 days · Booth throughput on plan · No confidentiality breach
Gate 2 · November 2027 → 12 estates
All Gate 1 measures · ≥95% of valid results acknowledged within 30 days · Colposcopy referrals within agreed capacity
Gate 3 · February 2028 → 20 estates
Waves 1–2 cover ≥60% of the line list · ≥80% of Wave 1 referrals linked within 3 months · Spending within ±10%
Gate 3 check in this scenario: waves 1–2 reach ~70% of their line list (needs ≥60%) · 170 est. colposcopy referrals across the pilot.
Prepared as a simulated funding proposal to DFAT for a university assignment; no funding application has been submitted. Dates, targets and figures are illustrative.